Seplat Petroleum- Absurd billiger Ölproduzent aus Nigeria

[Steigerwälder]

Seite ich den Faden eröffnet habe hat sich einiges getan. Ich hab nicht mehr viel geschrieben aber hab meine Position bisher nicht angerührt. Durch die stark gestiegen Produktion dürfte nun noch einiges an Potential da sein.

[Istanbul]

Mobil Exxon Deal ist durch. Aktie jetzt knapp unter 200p.

https://www.thecable.ng/nnpc-mpnu-sign-settlement-agreement-…

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited says it has signed a settlement agreement for the divestment of ExxonMobil’s stake in Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited (MPNU) to Seplat Energy Plc.

According to a statement on Thursday by the national oil company, the agreement was signed with MPNU, Mobil Development Nigeria Inc., and Mobil Exploration Nigeria Inc.

“Settlement agreement between NNPC Ltd. and Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited, Mobil Development Nigeria Inc., and Mobil Exploration Nigeria Inc. signed regarding the proposed divestment of a 100% interest in Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited to Seplat Energy Offshore Limited,” NNPC said.

This followed a directive from President Bola Tinubu to the ministry of state for petroleum resources (oil) and NNPC on May 28 to resolve the divestment issue delaying the Seplat and ExxonMobil deal.

The deal had been stalled for over two years.

In February 2022, Seplat announced an agreement to acquire ExxonMobil’s 40 percent stake in MPNU — with the expectation that the transaction will be closed in the second half of the year.

However, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Company (NUPRC), on May 19, 2022, declined to approve Seplat’s proposed acquisition due to “overriding national interest”.

Two months later, Seplat said NNPC had won a court injunction restraining ExxonMobil from selling its assets in Nigeria.

Following the push against the deal, former President Muhammadu Buhari reversed his authorisation for the acquisition on August 10, 2022 — a few days after his initial approval.

Amid the delay in obtaining approval, in May 2023, Seplat extended the share sale and purchase agreement (SSPA) it had with ExxonMobil for the acquisition of its stake in MPNU.

On May 17, Seplat hinted that the company was making progress with the acquisition of MPNU assets — a week later, Seplat extended the SSPA.

Website NNPC
https://www.nnpcgroup.com/insights/the-settlement-agreement-…

Fehlen noch ein paar Details, aber ich gehe davon aus, dass die operativ nicht relevant sind, eher lediglich gesichtswahrend für NNPC.

[Istanbul]

Q1 2024 Zahlen. Prinzipiell nix Neues. Umsatz und FCF auch nach Anpassung für Over-/Underlift etwas niedrig. Grund imho FX Effekte aus dem volatilen Naira. Etwas höherer Ölpreis und etwas geringere Produktion sollten sich dagegen etwa ausgleichen. Ist mir aber egal und ich hab den Q1-Bericht nicht gelesen.

Lagos and London, 29 April 2024: Seplat Energy PLC ("Seplat Energy" or "the Company"), a leading Nigerian independent energy company listed on both the Nigerian Exchange and the London Stock Exchange, announces its unaudited results for the three months ended 31 March 2024.

Operational highlights

· Production averaged 49,258 boepd, down 4.8% on prior period (3M 2023: 51,720 boepd), but 5.7% above Q4 2023 production, and towards the upper end of 2024 guidance (44,000 boepd - 52,000 boepd).

· ANOH gas plant pre-commissioning works ongoing. Seplat maintains its first gas target in 3Q 2024.

· Sibiri-1 on stream a few weeks after FDP approval, work ongoing to commence production from Sibiri-2.

· Discovery of hydrocarbons in previously untested deep reservoirs at Sapele-37 and Okporhuru-9.

· Carbon emissions intensity: 29.4 kg CO2/boe (3M 2023: 26.4 kg CO2/boe). End of Routine Flaring ("EORF") projects are on track, with EORF expected in H2 2025, these will deliver a material reduction in emissions intensity.

· Achieved more than 2.3 million hours without Lost Time Injury ("LTI") at Seplat-operated assets in Q1 2024.

Financial updates

· Revenue $179.8 million, down from $331.0 million in 3M 2023 (after adjusting for underlift and overlift oil volumes, 3M 2024 adjusted revenues of $236.3 million, against $255.6 million in 3M 2023).

· Average realised oil price $86.17/bbl (3M 2023: $82.32/bbl); average realised gas price $3.11/Mscf (3M 2023: $2.88/Mscf).

· Unit production opex of $9.6/boe, (3M 2023: $9.0/boe).

· Cash generated from operations of $16.8 million, primarily due to timing of liftings, $95 million received in April for volumes lifted in March, down from $145.0m in Q1 2023. Capex invested of $47.1 million (3M 2023: $44.7 million)

· Balance sheet cash down to $335.8 million (YE 2023: $450.1 million), $128 million MPNU cash deposit not included.

· Net debt at end March increased to $385 million (Dec 2023: $305 million), a further $19.3 million of RBL borrowings were repaid in the quarter. Net Debt to EBITDA was 0.9x.

· Q1 2024 dividend declared of US3.0 cents per share.

Corporate updates

· On 1st April 2024 Mr. Udoma Udo Udoma became Independent Non-Executive Chairman and Mr. Bello Rabiu became Senior Independent Non-Executive Director of the Seplat Energy Board.

· On 1st May 2024 Mrs. Eleanor Adaralegbe will join the Board of Seplat as an Executive Director and will succeed Mr. Emeka Onwuka as Chief Financial Officer on 21st May 2024.

· Full year guidance unchanged. Production 44,000-52,000 boepd, capex $170 million - $200 million.

· Working with NNPC and government to conclude the acquisition of ExxonMobil's share capital in Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited ("MPNU"). We remain confident that President Tinubu's administration will approve the transaction.

Post-reporting period events

· NMDPRA increased the domestic market gas price to $2.42/Mscf from $2.18/Mscf, effective 1 April 2024. New pricing will be applied to approximately 30% of gas volumes.

· On April 14th, 2024, after approximately 2 years of outage, Zone-6 of SPDC operated Trans Niger Pipeline ("TNP") resumed operations, four months ahead of management's expectations.

Roger Brown, Chief Executive Officer, said:

"Seplat Energy continued its trend of strong operational performance in the first quarter. Oil production on OMLs 4, 38, 40 and 41 outperformed expectations, benefitting from low pipeline losses and deferments, which were ahead of plan. Cash flow was down in the first quarter, but this is largely due to timing difference of lifting oil from the terminals. The business remains strong, production is firmly on track this year and price realisations remain supportive of cash generation.

In our FY 2023 results we outlined several growth opportunities for 2024. The first of these to start generating revenue for Seplat is Sibiri, which came on stream just a few weeks after the FDP approval was received from NUPRC. At Abiala (a marginal field within OML 40), the drilling programme is on track to start during 2Q. We were delighted to see resumption of operations on the Trans Niger Pipeline in April, approximately four months ahead of plan. Access to the pipeline will enable us to increase production from OML53, as well as providing the primary export route for condensate from AGPC, which remains on track for first gas in 3Q 2024.

Looking further forward, we are pleased to share that we discovered hydrocarbons in deeper reservoirs than had previously been tested at Sapele-37 and Okhorpuru-9. The initial results are promising, again highlighting the world class quality of the geology in Nigeria.

In Nigeria, we were pleased to see more progressive actions taken by President Tinubu and the industry regulators. In March, the President signed executive orders that will provide fiscal incentives in our gas and midstream businesses. In addition, an executive order was signed and gazetted into law, which has potential to materially improve our contracting process and bring the right level of efficiency that will support costs reductions. We applaud the change, which can drive much needed efficiency gains across our industry. More recently NMDPRA lifted the domestic gas price to $2.42/Mscf supporting revenue generation and re-emphasising the government's commitment to develop Nigeria's gas resources, a factor aligned with Pillar 2 in our strategy.

Our message to investors on MPNU is unchanged. Dialogue between key parties is active and constructive, and we remain confident that we can reach a conclusion on this transformational acquisition."

[Istanbul]

Natürlich sagt die NNPC nicht, dass sie gegen den Deal ist, weil sie die Kohle für den CEO und/oder dessen Kumpels abzweigen will.

[lucky27]

Zitat von Istanbul: Seplat spricht immer neutral von Regulators, aber gemeint ist die Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, namentlich deren CEO Mele Kyari. Den Cash Flow hätte die NNPC bzw. der CEO gerne selbst, hat aber nicht die Investitionsmittel, weil verständlicherweise niemand einem nigerianischen Staatsunternehmen Dollars gibt. Dann beginnt das Geschachere und es zieht sich eben hin.

Ich halte übrigens langfristig die Gasprojekte - beginnend mit ANOH über die ANOH Gas Processing Company Limited (AGPC) - für wichtiger und die oft zu lesende Ansicht, dass man am Gas nix verdienen wird, für komplett falsch.

Danke für die Info.

so weit ich mich eingelesen habe, geht es auch um regulatorische Dinge und zu viel Marktmacht….

Einzig, was mich stutzig macht, dass der CEO Brown ständig von der baldigen Freigabe spricht. schon seit 2 Jahren….

letztlich ist das hier eine super Firma. Leider in einem Katastrophen Umfeld……. Wenn der neue Präsident nur Teile davon in den Griff bekommt, dann sieht das hier wohl sehr gut aus.

[Istanbul]

Seplat spricht immer neutral von Regulators, aber gemeint ist die Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, namentlich deren CEO Mele Kyari. Den Cash Flow hätte die NNPC bzw. der CEO gerne selbst, hat aber nicht die Investitionsmittel, weil verständlicherweise niemand einem nigerianischen Staatsunternehmen Dollars gibt. Dann beginnt das Geschachere und es zieht sich eben hin.

Ich halte übrigens langfristig die Gasprojekte - beginnend mit ANOH über die ANOH Gas Processing Company Limited (AGPC) - für wichtiger und die oft zu lesende Ansicht, dass man am Gas nix verdienen wird, für komplett falsch.

[lucky27]

Zitat von Istanbul: Annual Report 2023 https://www.seplatenergy.com/media/54qbdvut/sep-ar23_24-04-1…

Einfach alle Absätze "What this means to Seplat" lesen. Klärt sich dann vieles, z.B. Auswirkungen Naira.

Naira hat sich inzwischen nach der weitgehenden Wechselkurs-Freigabe nach Überschießen stabilisiert. Somit sollte sich die Differenz in der Bewertung zwischen der Börse Lagos zu London auflösen. Ich hoffe, in die richtige Richtung. Operativ ohnehin hohes Potential, insbesondere Gas. MPNU-Deal muss man ohnehin abwarten. Läuft.

woran hakt es eigentlich beim MPNU Deal?

[Istanbul]

Annual Report 2023 https://www.seplatenergy.com/media/54qbdvut/sep-ar23_24-04-1…

Einfach alle Absätze "What this means to Seplat" lesen. Klärt sich dann vieles, z.B. Auswirkungen Naira.

Naira hat sich inzwischen nach der weitgehenden Wechselkurs-Freigabe nach Überschießen stabilisiert. Somit sollte sich die Differenz in der Bewertung zwischen der Börse Lagos zu London auflösen. Ich hoffe, in die richtige Richtung. Operativ ohnehin hohes Potential, insbesondere Gas. MPNU-Deal muss man ohnehin abwarten. Läuft.

[mistery01]

Sonderdividende und Hoffnung auf den Texacokauf

[mistery01]

Warum ist Seplat von dem schwachen Naira so beeinflusst. Die Handeln ihr Öl doch in USD