Sumitomo Heavy Industries Ltd. (SHI) -- (Präzisions-)Maschinen- und Anlagenbau aus Japan - 500 Beiträge pro Seite
eröffnet am 07.01.18 23:04:40 von
neuester Beitrag 30.05.22 20:22:02 von
neuester Beitrag 30.05.22 20:22:02 von
Beiträge: 14
ID: 1.271.147
ID: 1.271.147
Aufrufe heute: 0
Gesamt: 1.866
Gesamt: 1.866
Aktive User: 0
ISIN: JP3405400007 · WKN: 859555
24,700
EUR
-1,20 %
-0,300 EUR
Letzter Kurs 12.06.24 Lang & Schwarz
Neuigkeiten
Werte aus der Branche Maschinenbau
Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
---|---|---|
59,00 | +67,61 | |
1,7000 | +29,77 | |
28,00 | +21,21 | |
79,36 | +18,29 | |
10,500 | +14,38 |
Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
---|---|---|
4,0800 | -9,13 | |
26,40 | -12,20 | |
1,8000 | -13,04 | |
44,89 | -29,25 | |
15,380 | -30,72 |
(ich hoffe, es gibt nicht schon wieder ein Thread dazu - ich suchte vorher ab - auch ohne ISIN...)
Notiert auf Graham Number: https://www.gurufocus.com/stock/SOHVY => all said
sonst: http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=SOHVY®i… (*)
http://www.shi.co.jp/english/ir/index.html
- MK ca. EUR4.5Mrd.
- MA: 18...20k
- im Nikkei 225
- zahlt eine kleine Dividende (seit 2012) > 2%
- 5-to-1 reverse stock split for common shares was carried out on October 1, 2017
- es gab einen sehr langen Streit mit der City of Kyoto, der mittlerweile beigelegt wurde (gegen Zahlung von SHI an Kyoto) --> extraordinary loss in the amount estimated to be JPY14.5 billion (~EUR110m):
__- Ursache: Streit um eine Lieferung von 2005(!): Incinerated Ash Melting Facility --> Risiken von Einzel-Projekten, wie sie überall auf der Welt im Bau von solchen Anlagen vorkommen.
Wie so oft, oder idR, bei einem Investitionsgüterhersteller, gibt es Schwierigkeiten freien Cashflow (FCF) gleichmässig über die Jahre hinweg zu erzeugen:
Free Cash Flow [mJPY] (*):
2008-03: 4,853
2009 6,603
2010 37,509
2011 22,128
2012 -918
2013 -19,392
2014 44,611
2015 44,821
2016 -865
2017-03: 13,566
LTM: 40,842
__
SHI ist eine Wette darauf, dass in den kommenden Jahren wieder vermehrt weltweit in Investitionsgüter investiert wird.
=> im Umkehrschluss: wer an eine Rezession glaubt, ist hier verkehrt.
Die extrem breite Aufstellung von Sumitomo Heavy Industries mag dabei ein Nachteil oder Vorteil sein: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/index.html
z.B.:
- proton therapy systems (zur Krebsbekämpfung) --> medical cyclotron systems: http://thetricountypress.com/global-medical-cyclotron-market…
- biomass-fueled power plants (> 100MW)
- automotive body frame production systems
- vacuum coating equipment
- ...
- aber auch ganz sexy Sachen, wie z.B.: Cryopumps: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/precision/pump/ --> braucht man zur Vakuumerzeugung, die man wiederum für mittlerweile sehr viele "High-Tech-"Prozesse braucht:
=> hier Wettbewerber z.B.:
- Oerlikon Leybold
- Ideal Vacuum Products/USA
- Brooks Automation/USA
...
=> d.h. einen 1:1-Wettbewerber zu SHI gibt es nicht. Soviel kann man bei dieser Produkt- und Prozess-Vielfalt ausschliessen: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/index.html
Natürlich kam - auch diesem Wert - der Aufkauf von Aktien durch die jap. Notenbank in den letzten Jahren(?), wie so vielen Japan-Aktien, zugute. Wer das nicht mag...
Notiert auf Graham Number: https://www.gurufocus.com/stock/SOHVY => all said
sonst: http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=SOHVY®i… (*)
http://www.shi.co.jp/english/ir/index.html
- MK ca. EUR4.5Mrd.
- MA: 18...20k
- im Nikkei 225
- zahlt eine kleine Dividende (seit 2012) > 2%
- 5-to-1 reverse stock split for common shares was carried out on October 1, 2017
- es gab einen sehr langen Streit mit der City of Kyoto, der mittlerweile beigelegt wurde (gegen Zahlung von SHI an Kyoto) --> extraordinary loss in the amount estimated to be JPY14.5 billion (~EUR110m):
__- Ursache: Streit um eine Lieferung von 2005(!): Incinerated Ash Melting Facility --> Risiken von Einzel-Projekten, wie sie überall auf der Welt im Bau von solchen Anlagen vorkommen.
Wie so oft, oder idR, bei einem Investitionsgüterhersteller, gibt es Schwierigkeiten freien Cashflow (FCF) gleichmässig über die Jahre hinweg zu erzeugen:
Free Cash Flow [mJPY] (*):
2008-03: 4,853
2009 6,603
2010 37,509
2011 22,128
2012 -918
2013 -19,392
2014 44,611
2015 44,821
2016 -865
2017-03: 13,566
LTM: 40,842
__
SHI ist eine Wette darauf, dass in den kommenden Jahren wieder vermehrt weltweit in Investitionsgüter investiert wird.
=> im Umkehrschluss: wer an eine Rezession glaubt, ist hier verkehrt.
Die extrem breite Aufstellung von Sumitomo Heavy Industries mag dabei ein Nachteil oder Vorteil sein: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/index.html
z.B.:
- proton therapy systems (zur Krebsbekämpfung) --> medical cyclotron systems: http://thetricountypress.com/global-medical-cyclotron-market…
- biomass-fueled power plants (> 100MW)
- automotive body frame production systems
- vacuum coating equipment
- ...
- aber auch ganz sexy Sachen, wie z.B.: Cryopumps: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/precision/pump/ --> braucht man zur Vakuumerzeugung, die man wiederum für mittlerweile sehr viele "High-Tech-"Prozesse braucht:
=> hier Wettbewerber z.B.:
- Oerlikon Leybold
- Ideal Vacuum Products/USA
- Brooks Automation/USA
...
=> d.h. einen 1:1-Wettbewerber zu SHI gibt es nicht. Soviel kann man bei dieser Produkt- und Prozess-Vielfalt ausschliessen: http://www.shi.co.jp/english/products/index.html
Natürlich kam - auch diesem Wert - der Aufkauf von Aktien durch die jap. Notenbank in den letzten Jahren(?), wie so vielen Japan-Aktien, zugute. Wer das nicht mag...
Langzeit-Chart
Topix Index keeps soaring despite JPY's strength
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-10/stronger-…=>
=> ein oft beobachtetes Phänomen: Aktien können ganz gut steigen bei (mässig) steigender Inflation:
=> die Unternehmen können nämlich in so einem Umfeld langersehnte Preissteigerungen durchführen - ohne dabei allzu gross damit aufzufallen.
Albert Edwards, Société Générale’s permabear: bullish on Japan!
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-top-a-promine…=>
...
Albert Edwards, Société Générale’s permabear, usually spooks investors with his downbeat views at his bank’s annual strategy conference in London, but this year shocked attendees by squeezing a rare optimistic take on Japanese equities.
“I’m gonna try and be quite bullish about something: Japan,” he said at the conference, also referred to as “Woodstock for bears”, earlier this week. “So there will be a slightly more upbeat part of my presentation for a change.”
Edwards said the Japanese economy has a lot of positives at the moment, including strong household incomes, surging corporate profits and the prospect of a rapid pick up in consumption.
“It’s a cheap market, if you are looking to invest, that is the bright spot. You can see the Japanese corporates and the economy doing pretty well,” he said...
European Union and Japan signed a huge free trade deal that cuts or eliminates tariffs on nearly all goods
July 17, 2018https://money.cnn.com/2018/07/17/news/economy/eu-japan-trade…
=>
...
The agreement covers 600 million people and almost a third of the global economy. It's also a major endorsement of a global trading system that is under increasing threat from protectionism.
It will remove tariffs on European exports such as cheese and wine. Japanese automakers and electronics firms will face fewer barriers in the European Union.
...
Average global tariffs are near record lows. EU products currently face an average tariff of 1.6% when they arrive in Japan, while Japanese products face tariffs of 2.9% in the European Union, according to the World Trade Organization.
Still, the European Union said the tariffs cost its companies up to €1 billion ($1.2 billion) per year.
The trade deal is expected to come into force in 2019 after being approved by lawmakers on both sides.
=> ein möglicher Katalysator für den japanischen Maschinen- und Anlagenbau?
Sumitomo Heavy Industries hält sich von den drei Vergleichswerten noch am besten:
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 59.294.795 von faultcode am 25.11.18 18:36:57
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-20/the-48-bi…
=>
-- Foreigners unload most shares since Black Monday crash of 1987
-- UBS Wealth says it’s going to be a ‘cold winter’ for equities
Japanese stocks tumbled into a bear market, buffeted by the biggest foreign
investor exodus in three decades. UBS Wealth Management says the worst may be
yet to come.
Traders should brace for a “cold winter,” said Toru Ibayashi, head of Japanese
equities at the money manager, after the benchmark Topix index slid 2.5 percent
on Thursday to take its decline from a January high to 21 percent. Overseas
investors have dumped about $48 billion in the country’s stocks so far this
year, the most since 1987, the year of Wall Street’s famous Black Monday market
crash.
The Topix is down 9 percent this month alone, set for its worst December
performance since 1959, as Japanese equities get sucked into a global market
sell-off spurred by concern about the U.S.-China trade war and central banks’
tightening of monetary policy. While that’s sent valuations on the benchmark
gauge to their lowest since 2012, UBS’s Ibayashi says it’s too early to jump
back into the market.
“Japanese equities will suffer from global investors’ selling pressure until
March,” Ibayashi said in a phone interview. He pointed to the need to know the
outcome of trade negotiations between the U.S. and China that are set to run
until the start of that month. “We are near the bottom but we can see some
downside left. Be patient until March.” External Factors
The country’s stock market, so often swayed by external events, is in that
position again. Investors say that because the fall was due to factors such as
the trade uncertainty, not domestic corporate profits, the market is unlikely to
rebound until they’re resolved.
“There isn’t much of a Japan-specific reason to this,” said Naoki Murakami, a
Tokyo-based market strategist at AllianceBernstein Japan Ltd. “It’s not as if
the foreign selling indicates a disappointment towards Japan.”
Murakami says that one of the things that could help Japanese equities is if the
U.S. Federal Reserve moderates its stance on interest-rate increases. A dovish
Fed could bolster U.S. equities and in turn rekindle foreign appetite for
Japanese stocks. Nader Naeimi of AMP Capital Investors Ltd. takes the same
position. He needs to see confidence restored in other markets before he’ll buy
back into Japan.
“Local fundamentals now don’t count for much as the global bear market gains
momentum,” the Sydney-based fund manager Naeimi said by email. “I doubt there
will be a strong interest until fears over global equity bear market and a
possible U.S. recession have given way to global growth optimism.” Foreign
Reversal
This year’s performance and foreign selling is a stark contrast to 2013, when
foreigners piled into the Japanese stock market on enthusiasm about Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe’s plans to stimulate the economy and kickstart inflation.
Ryota Sakagami of JPMorgan Securities estimates that foreign investors have sold
12 trillion yen ($107 billion) of cash equities and futures this year.
“Foreigners are liquidating the positions they’ve built up during the days of
the Abenomics-driven market,” said Hiroshi Matsumoto, head of Japan investment
at Pictet Asset Management Ltd.
Japan has entered a bear market despite record stock-market purchases by the
Bank of Japan. The BOJ has bought 6.2 trillion yen in exchange-traded funds
tracking the nation’s shares this year through Dec. 19, exceeding its annual
target for 6 trillion yen.
The Topix trades at 12 times estimated earnings, the lowest since September
2012. The market is now so cheap that it wouldn’t be strange to see some buyers,
according to Matsumoto. But for foreigners to return en masse like they did in
2013, they’re going to need a more convincing reason, he said.
“They’ll come back when they’re able to picture another growth story for Japan,”
he said.
The Billion Sell-Off That Sent Japan Stocks Into Bear Market
20. Dezember 2018https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-20/the-48-bi…
=>
-- Foreigners unload most shares since Black Monday crash of 1987
-- UBS Wealth says it’s going to be a ‘cold winter’ for equities
Japanese stocks tumbled into a bear market, buffeted by the biggest foreign
investor exodus in three decades. UBS Wealth Management says the worst may be
yet to come.
Traders should brace for a “cold winter,” said Toru Ibayashi, head of Japanese
equities at the money manager, after the benchmark Topix index slid 2.5 percent
on Thursday to take its decline from a January high to 21 percent. Overseas
investors have dumped about $48 billion in the country’s stocks so far this
year, the most since 1987, the year of Wall Street’s famous Black Monday market
crash.
The Topix is down 9 percent this month alone, set for its worst December
performance since 1959, as Japanese equities get sucked into a global market
sell-off spurred by concern about the U.S.-China trade war and central banks’
tightening of monetary policy. While that’s sent valuations on the benchmark
gauge to their lowest since 2012, UBS’s Ibayashi says it’s too early to jump
back into the market.
“Japanese equities will suffer from global investors’ selling pressure until
March,” Ibayashi said in a phone interview. He pointed to the need to know the
outcome of trade negotiations between the U.S. and China that are set to run
until the start of that month. “We are near the bottom but we can see some
downside left. Be patient until March.” External Factors
The country’s stock market, so often swayed by external events, is in that
position again. Investors say that because the fall was due to factors such as
the trade uncertainty, not domestic corporate profits, the market is unlikely to
rebound until they’re resolved.
“There isn’t much of a Japan-specific reason to this,” said Naoki Murakami, a
Tokyo-based market strategist at AllianceBernstein Japan Ltd. “It’s not as if
the foreign selling indicates a disappointment towards Japan.”
Murakami says that one of the things that could help Japanese equities is if the
U.S. Federal Reserve moderates its stance on interest-rate increases. A dovish
Fed could bolster U.S. equities and in turn rekindle foreign appetite for
Japanese stocks. Nader Naeimi of AMP Capital Investors Ltd. takes the same
position. He needs to see confidence restored in other markets before he’ll buy
back into Japan.
“Local fundamentals now don’t count for much as the global bear market gains
momentum,” the Sydney-based fund manager Naeimi said by email. “I doubt there
will be a strong interest until fears over global equity bear market and a
possible U.S. recession have given way to global growth optimism.” Foreign
Reversal
This year’s performance and foreign selling is a stark contrast to 2013, when
foreigners piled into the Japanese stock market on enthusiasm about Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe’s plans to stimulate the economy and kickstart inflation.
Ryota Sakagami of JPMorgan Securities estimates that foreign investors have sold
12 trillion yen ($107 billion) of cash equities and futures this year.
“Foreigners are liquidating the positions they’ve built up during the days of
the Abenomics-driven market,” said Hiroshi Matsumoto, head of Japan investment
at Pictet Asset Management Ltd.
Japan has entered a bear market despite record stock-market purchases by the
Bank of Japan. The BOJ has bought 6.2 trillion yen in exchange-traded funds
tracking the nation’s shares this year through Dec. 19, exceeding its annual
target for 6 trillion yen.
The Topix trades at 12 times estimated earnings, the lowest since September
2012. The market is now so cheap that it wouldn’t be strange to see some buyers,
according to Matsumoto. But for foreigners to return en masse like they did in
2013, they’re going to need a more convincing reason, he said.
“They’ll come back when they’re able to picture another growth story for Japan,”
he said.
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 59.480.661 von faultcode am 20.12.18 15:56:28
aus: WSJ, The Daily Shot
"Cold winter" in Japan: Tankan Large & Small manufacturing outlook: 2009-2019
.aus: WSJ, The Daily Shot
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 60.266.118 von faultcode am 03.04.19 14:26:047.2.
Japan Recession Risks Prompt Forecasts of 2020 Contraction
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-07/japan-rec…
Japan is in a recession now, and what’s more its economy is on track to shrink on an annual basis in 2020, according to some analysts factoring in the impact of the coronavirus outbreak and the latest disappointing data.
The effect of the virus is seen as a factor tipping the economy downward for a second quarter at the start of 2020, prompting economists to revise their forecasts this week. Figures out Friday showed household spending deteriorating, suggesting that the economy already contracted more than first thought at the end of last year.
Aberdeen Standard Investments economist Govinda Finn is among those taking a dim view for the whole year, not just in a worst-case scenario but in his baseline view. He now forecasts a contraction of 0.2% in 2020, though he pins more of the blame on policy than the virus. He says the government should have done more to support the economy from the blow of October’s sales tax hike and weak overseas demand.
“If the Ministry of Finance could learn one lesson from the Bank of Japan, it’s that expectations matter,” said Finn, who characterized Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s stimulus package as more of the same rather than a ramping up of spending. The effectiveness of stimulus is weaker if the government waits until the global economy is in recession before acting, he added.
Abe said earlier Friday he would tap budgeted reserves to put together emergency spending measures next week in response to the coronavirus outbreak.
Economists polled by Bloomberg in a survey released Friday estimate that the economy shrank an annualized 4% in the last quarter. Those forecasting a contraction in the first quarter and a recession are still a small minority, and the median forecast for 2020 is for 0.5% growth.
“The reality is the industrial cycle -- if you look at the production data, it’s still poor. We’re not seeing a turnaround there,” said Finn. “Inventory levels, inventory shipment levels are high. There’s nothing in there that gives me any comfort.”
...
Japan Recession Risks Prompt Forecasts of 2020 Contraction
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-07/japan-rec…
Japan is in a recession now, and what’s more its economy is on track to shrink on an annual basis in 2020, according to some analysts factoring in the impact of the coronavirus outbreak and the latest disappointing data.
The effect of the virus is seen as a factor tipping the economy downward for a second quarter at the start of 2020, prompting economists to revise their forecasts this week. Figures out Friday showed household spending deteriorating, suggesting that the economy already contracted more than first thought at the end of last year.
Aberdeen Standard Investments economist Govinda Finn is among those taking a dim view for the whole year, not just in a worst-case scenario but in his baseline view. He now forecasts a contraction of 0.2% in 2020, though he pins more of the blame on policy than the virus. He says the government should have done more to support the economy from the blow of October’s sales tax hike and weak overseas demand.
“If the Ministry of Finance could learn one lesson from the Bank of Japan, it’s that expectations matter,” said Finn, who characterized Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s stimulus package as more of the same rather than a ramping up of spending. The effectiveness of stimulus is weaker if the government waits until the global economy is in recession before acting, he added.
Abe said earlier Friday he would tap budgeted reserves to put together emergency spending measures next week in response to the coronavirus outbreak.
Economists polled by Bloomberg in a survey released Friday estimate that the economy shrank an annualized 4% in the last quarter. Those forecasting a contraction in the first quarter and a recession are still a small minority, and the median forecast for 2020 is for 0.5% growth.
“The reality is the industrial cycle -- if you look at the production data, it’s still poor. We’re not seeing a turnaround there,” said Finn. “Inventory levels, inventory shipment levels are high. There’s nothing in there that gives me any comfort.”
...
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 62.614.489 von faultcode am 07.02.20 13:52:14spotbillig:
https://www.marketscreener.com/SUMITOMO-HEAVY-INDUSTRIES-649…
https://www.marketscreener.com/SUMITOMO-HEAVY-INDUSTRIES-649…
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 59.294.795 von faultcode am 25.11.18 18:36:57..zuletzt war das Gegenteil der Fall:
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 64.232.998 von faultcode am 30.06.20 11:10:40Japan, Land der aufgehenden Sonne:
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 64.232.998 von faultcode am 30.06.20 11:10:40ersetze Mitsui Mining durch Tadano (die passen besser als Vergleich; kleine Position):
JP:6302 -- Sumitomo Heavy Industries
JP:6395 -- Tadano
JP:7004 -- Hitachi Zosen
=> nur Hitachi Zosen rocken bislang
JP:6302 -- Sumitomo Heavy Industries
JP:6395 -- Tadano
JP:7004 -- Hitachi Zosen
=> nur Hitachi Zosen rocken bislang
https://www.hannovermesse.de/en/press/press-releases/hannove…
...
die Sumitomo Cyclo Drive Germany GmbH ist eine Tochter der Sumitomo Heavy Industries
...
die Sumitomo Cyclo Drive Germany GmbH ist eine Tochter der Sumitomo Heavy Industries
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